Prediction Markets Can't Predict War: Why 19.5% Peace Probability Is Code for Uncertainty
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2026-07-18
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Market Prices
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Fear & Greed
65
Greed
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202612
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$78,638.7
1
Ethereum
ETH
$2,469.57
1
Solana
SOL
$97.42
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$703.5
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.42
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0869
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.2121
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$7.39
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.8560
1
Chainlink
LINK
$11.47
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0.5 Gwei
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0.3 Gwei
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12h ago
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3h ago
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88%